I was thinking today about my baseball predictions and whether or not I was close back in March, well it’s time to find out.
Well I got the Phillies, Marlins, and Nationals correct. Not too bad. The Mets are out of it and Phillies seems to have the division locked up (I hope this jinxes them)
I got the bottom two correct, but after that it’s a jumble. The Cubs could overtake the Cardinals, and the same with the Astros/Brewers, they could flip-flop for me.
Arizona has been a disappointment, but at least I got the Dodgers and Padres right. If the Giants pass into second place, I will get the Rockies right.
I have this one 100%. Go me.
I have Kansas City correct. This is one of those divisions that will come down to the last few games though, hard to say who will end up in the top three spots. Well not who will end up there, but what order.
Another division I am batting 1.000…so lets see 17/30 correct. Not too bad if you ask me.
What about some other predictions I made? I have the AL Wildcard correct, but not the NL. It seems to me that Albert Pujols is a lock for the MVP, but here are the people that should be noted as in contention. I will give some stats and whatnot (Ryan will then dispute them).
1. Pujols-Adjusted OPS+ 194
4. A. Gonzalez-158
5. H. Ramirez-154
As you can see, Pujols is having a monster season. If you take him out of the mix, it seems like a pretty good race between the others. Adam Dunn is having a good season (he has less strikeouts and more home runs than Ryan Howard, uh oh…)
On the AL side, who do we have?
Joe Mauer is having a fantastic season, yet he has the problem of playing with Morneau, who could lead in RBIs and Batting Average, which is all voters look at. Mauer does have 20 home runs, and as a catcher, I think that has to go in his favor.
In the Cy Young debate, the AL seems to be either Greinke or Halladay, Beckett could be in the discussion as well, but I think it ends up going to Halladay. In the NL, Lincecum and Haren seem to be the two favorites. I believe Lincecum should win it, but a strong case could be made for both. I think maybe the Pirates beating up on Haren, and only scoring like one run in two games against Lincecum sways me…
The ROY race seems to be pretty exciting, especially in the NL. If McCutchen keeps up the way he has been, he could very well win it. Fowler and Rasmus seem to be the leaders, but they also have a full season to add up some numbers. McCutchen has almost caught them (or surpassed them) in every category. The wild card could be J.A. Happ.
The AL does not really have any major contributors, but Gordon Beckham could be the winner, but he has the same problem as McCutchen (called up later in the season). Ricky Romero could also be a strong candidate.
So, what are your thoughts on the subject?